Stocks, Real Estate and Gold
from Casey Research
Now is a very bad time to have most kinds of equities; stocks in general are very overpriced, by almost every parameter. I'm not looking to sell my gold until I can buy solid blue chip stocks for dividend yields in the 8% to 10% area. That's after they cut their current dividends. Although it's certainly not the bargain it was 10 years ago. Nonetheless gold will go higher. Stocks will go lower. I don't know exactly when I'll sell my gold and buy stocks, but it will be when there's a panic into gold and when stocks are bargains. I'm sure I'll be afraid to make the trade when the time comes—but good trades almost always run counter to your emotions. Perhaps the tip-off will be when Newsweek or Time—if either still exists then—run a front cover with a golden bear tearing apart the New York Stock Exchange.

I think it will be a generation before American real estate is a solid buy again. And the world at large will likely have quite a different character then.

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